Which Way Wednesday – Ridiculously Overbought Edition

Check out this chart :   That's the NYSE McClellen Oscillator, which hasn't been this high (overbought) since July of 2011, when the S&P plunged from 1,345 to 1,123 (16.5%) in 4 terrifying weeks.  Yesteday's rally was a very low-volume affair 101.3M on SPY (about 60% of normal) and we were goosed by Peter Schiff on CNBC at 1:10 pm, claiming QE4 was right around the corner : Ahead of tomorrow's decision by the FOMC, Peter Schiff ventured on to CNBC to discuss the economy, the fed, and gold… among other things. Schiff rightly fears that while the Fed may well stop QE3 tomorrow,  QE4 will not be too long behind  it as he notes, rather eloquently, that "an economy that lives by QE, will die by QE" as the Fed's total lack of willingness to allow stocks to fall (see Bullard 2 weeks ago) or a 'cleansing' recession leaves the nation's economy in far worse shape than it was before the Fed's intervention. Schiff calmly replies to the anchor's questions (as she proclaims "I am not on the side of the Fed but…"), gently explains his view on gold when challenged about his 'wrongness', but  when a guest starts hounding him for being dangerous to CNBC viewers wealth… Schiff (rightly) loses it – must watch! As noted by Dave Fry : It seems bulls are confident the Fed will end QE on schedule and at the same time give bulls dovish comments about conditions (“don’t mess with us”!) going forward. Many pundits are discussing interest rates remaining unchanged for several years and longer. That means companies like IBM can continue (another $5 billion share buyback announced today) their financial engineering to lessen float making it easy to report better earnings at the price of future innovation and company growth. But bulls don’t care about future growth, only what takes place now. Besides, this is the season when bulls make their year, so let’s ignore anything beyond current tape action.   IN PROGRESS      

NYMO  DAILYCheck out this chart:  

That's the NYSE McClellen Oscillator, which hasn't been this high (overbought) since July of 2011, when the S&P plunged from 1,345 to 1,123 (16.5%) in 4 terrifying weeks.  Yesteday's rally was a very low-volume affair 101.3M on SPY (about 60% of normal) and we were goosed by Peter Schiff on CNBC at 1:10 pm, claiming QE4 was right around the corner:

Ahead of tomorrow's decision by the FOMC, Peter Schiff ventured on to CNBC to discuss the economy, the fed, and gold… among other things. Schiff rightly fears that while the Fed may well stop QE3 tomorrow, QE4 will not be too long behind it as he notes, rather eloquently, that "an economy that lives by QE, will die by QE" as the Fed's total lack of willingness to allow stocks to fall (see Bullard 2 weeks ago) or a 'cleansing' recession leaves the nation's economy in far worse shape than it was before the Fed's intervention. Schiff calmly replies to the anchor's questions (as she proclaims "I am not on the side of the Fed but…"), gently explains his view on gold when challenged about his 'wrongness', but when a guest starts hounding him for being dangerous to CNBC viewers wealth… Schiff (rightly) loses it – must watch!

SPY  5  MINUTEAs noted by Dave Fry:

It seems bulls are confident the Fed will end QE on schedule and at the same time give bulls dovish comments about conditions (“don’t mess with us”!) going forward. Many pundits are discussing interest rates remaining unchanged for several years and longer.

That means companies like IBM can continue (another $5 billion share buyback announced today) their financial engineering to lessen float making it easy to report better earnings at the price of future innovation and company growth. But bulls don’t care about future growth, only what takes place now. Besides, this is the season when bulls make their year, so let’s ignore anything beyond current tape action.

 

IN PROGRESS

 

 

 

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